Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds, picks, and play-in tournament predictions from a model on a 99-66 roll for the 2021 NBA Playoffs

 


 

The Warriors vs. Grizzlies game was simulated 10,000 times using SportsLine’s Projection Model.

The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies both had a lot on the line in the regular-season finale, and the stakes will be even higher when they meet again in the play-in tournament on Friday. It will be a rematch from six days earlier, when the Warriors clinched the No. 8 seed with a 113-101 win over the Memphis Grizzlies, dropping Memphis to the No. 9 seed.Despite a 103-100 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday, Golden State was able to play on its home court again, while the Grizzlies held their playoff hopes alive by defeating the San Antonio Spurs.

The Chase Center in San Francisco will host the game at 9 p.m. ET. In the new Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds, William Hill Sportsbook has the Warriors as five-point favourites, with the total points earned over-under at 221 in the latest Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds.Before making any Warriors vs. Grizzlies predictions, check out SportsLine’s proven computer model’s NBA predictions and betting advice.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has profited more than $9,100 on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two seasons.This season, the model is up nearly $900 on its top-rated picks, and it entered the 2020-21 NBA Playoffs with a stunning 99-66 record on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anyone who has followed it has seen enormous returns.

The model has now set its sights on the Grizzlies vs. Warriors matchup. You can view SportsLine’s picks here. Here are some NBA odds and betting trends for the Warriors vs. Grizzlies game:

  • The spread for the Grizzlies vs. the Warriors is Warriors -5.

  • Over/under for Grizzlies vs. Warriors: 221 points

  • Money line for Grizzlies vs. Warriors: Warriors -200; Grizzlies +175

  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 6-1 in their last seven games, with the exception of a loss to Golden State.

  • GS: The Warriors have won six straight and ten of their last eleven games at home

Why are the Grizzlies so capable of covering?

The focal point Jonas Valanciunas led the NBA with 23 points and 23 rebounds in a 100-96 victory over San Antonio. It was his fourth 20-20 game of the season.He also had a big game with 29 points and 16 rebounds in Sunday’s loss to Golden State, giving him six double-doubles in a row and nine in his last ten games. In his last six games, Valanciunas has averaged 16.7 rebounds per game, including 31 in a back-to-back against Golden State in March.

Dillon Brooks set a new career high with 24 points against the Spurs, capping a five-game run in which he averaged 23.4 points per game, including 18 before fouling out at Golden State.Memphis’ top scorer, Ja Morant, had 20 points, six rebounds, and six assists on Wednesday, and he came close to a double-double with 16 points and nine assists against Golden State.

Why are the Warriors so good at covering?

Stephen Curry, a two-time Most Valuable Player, was one of three players nominated for the award this year after leading the NBA in scoring and guiding Golden State to a 15-5 regular-season finish.Prior to his 46-point explosion in Sunday’s victory, Curry had not faced the Grizzlies in the previous two seasons due to injuries. He’s averaging 36.8 points per game in his last ten games, and he’s hit at least six 3-pointers eight times.

Andrew Wiggins, the team’s second-leading scorer, has averaged 26.7 points and shot at least 55% from the field in each of his last three games. In each of the three meetings with the Grizzlies, he has scored at least 20 points, including a season-high 40 on March 19.Jordan Poole, a second-year guard, has also had success against Memphis this season, averaging 22.0 points and three 3-pointers per game.

How to choose between the Warriors and the Grizzlies

The number is favoured by SportsLine’s model, which predicts a total of 228 points for the two teams. The model also claims that one side of the distribution reaches in more than half of all simulations. That selection


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